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February 25, 2008
Interactive Advertising Revenues
to Reach US$147 Billion Globally by 2012, According to The Kelsey
Group’s Annual Forecast
During the forecast
period, global directional advertising revenues, comprising local
search, print and Internet Yellow Pages, will grow to US$41.4 billion
Princeton, NJ (Feb. 25, 2008) --
The global advertising market grew to just over US$600 billion in
2007, according to The Kelsey Group, the leading provider of research,
data and strategic analysis on directional and interactive local
media. The firm expects global ad revenues to grow at a compound
annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.7 percent and reach US$707 billion
in 2012, propelled in large part by considerable growth in the interactive
segment.
According to “The Kelsey Group’s Annual
Forecast (2007-2012): Outlook for Directional and Interactive Advertising,”
interactive advertising revenues will increase significantly from
US$45 billion in 2007 to US$147 billion globally in 2012, representing
a
26.8 percent CAGR.
“It’s no surprise that the global advertising
industry is experiencing a full-scale shift to mixed-media platforms,
with interactive driving a significant share of overall industry
growth,” said Matt Booth, senior vice president, Interactive
Local Media, The Kelsey Group. “We see Internet development—including
increased subscriber/user access and broadband penetration—as
a driver of both interactive advertising revenue as well as migration
of traditional ad spending to new media platforms.”
Interactive advertising, which comprises search
(including local search), display advertising, classifieds and other
interactive ad products, grew its share of global advertising revenues
from 6.1 percent in 2006 to 7.4 percent in 2007. By 2012 Kelsey
Group analysts expect the interactive share of global ad spending
will reach 21 percent.
During the forecast period (2007-2012), the United
States will see interactive advertising revenues grow from US$22.5
billion to US$62.4 billion (22.6 percent CAGR), with interactive
revenues in Canada increasing from US$1.3 billion to US$3.3 billion
(21.3 percent CAGR).
The Outlook for Directional Advertising
The Kelsey Group forecasts directional advertising, which comprises
local search, print Yellow Pages and Internet Yellow Pages (IYP),
will grow from US$33.3 billion in 2007 to US$41.4 billion globally
in 2012 (4.5 percent CAGR). The global outlook for each of the three
key segments of the directional media market during the forecast
period (2007-2012) is as follows:
- Local search revenues will grow from US$2.1 billion to US$6.6
billion (25.5 percent CAGR).
- Print Yellow Pages revenues will decline from US$27.5 billion
to US$25.6 billion (-1.4 percent CAGR).
- IYP revenues will grow from US$3.7 billion to US$9.2 billion
(20.1 percent CAGR).
“We expect printed directory revenues to decline
in most global markets over the forecast period, though print will
remain the most important source of leads for small businesses,”
said Charles Laughlin, senior vice president and program director,
The Kelsey Report®, and managing editor, The Kelsey Group. “For
directory publishers to succeed, they will need to invest time,
energy and resources in both channels to minimize the decline in
print and maximize the opportunity online.”
During the forecast period (2007-2012), the United
States will see directional advertising revenues grow from US$16.4
billion to US$18.8 billion (2.8 percent CAGR), with directional
revenues in Canada increasing from US$1.4 billion to US$1.9 billion
(5.8 percent CAGR). Canada is one of the markets in which The Kelsey
Group expects growth in the print Yellow Pages segment, forecasting
a 1.8 percent CAGR for print directories in Canada during the forecast
period.
About The Kelsey Group’s Annual Forecast
The Kelsey Group has published a five-year forecast covering the
broadly defined directional and Internet media market annually since
2003. The firm draws from its proprietary data, primarily the Local
Commerce Monitor, User View and Global View studies, as well as
from company, industry and country information in the public domain.
Further, Kelsey Group analysts engage clients and non-clients in
numerous discussions about the direction and pace of development
in the local media marketplace. The Kelsey Group’s Annual
Forecast is available to clients of the firm’s continuous
advisory services. This forecast does not include mobile ad platforms.
The Kelsey Group’s mobile forecast, released in September
2007, will be updated later in 2008. Visit http://www.kelseygroup.com
for more information.
About The Kelsey Group
The Kelsey Group is the leading provider of research, data and strategic
analysis on directories, small-business advertising, online local
media, vertical market advertising and mobile advertising. Founded
in 1986, the company has built a reputation as the premier analyst
firm covering the directory publishing community and the emerging
local search marketplace, providing advisory services (The Kelsey
Report®, Interactive Local Media and Marketplaces), publishing
(Global Yellow Pages™), consulting (more than 400 individual
assignments) and conferences (71 events).
For more information contact:
Eileen Pacheco
For The Kelsey Group
eileen@tango-group.com
(781) 556-1026
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